A nomogram to predict cryptococcal meningitis in patients with pulmonary cryptococcosis.

Background: The most serious manifestation of pulmonary cryptococcosis is complicated with cryptococcal meningitis, while its clinical manifestations lack specificity with delayed diagnosis and high mortality. The early prediction of this complication can assist doctors to carry out clinical interventions in time, thus improving the cure rate. This study aimed to construct a nomogram to predict the risk of cryptococcal meningitis in patients with pulmonary cryptococcosis through a scoring system. Methods: The clinical data of 525 patients with pulmonary cryptococcosis were retrospectively analyzed, including 317 cases (60.38 %) with cryptococcal meningitis and 208 cases (39.62 %) without cryptococcal meningitis. The risk factors of cryptococcal meningitis were screened by univariate analysis, LASSO regression analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Then the risk factors were incorporated into the nomogram scoring system to establish a prediction model. The model was validated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve. Results: Fourteen risk factors for cryptococcal meningitis in patients with pulmonary cryptococcosis were screened out by statistical method, including 6 clinical manifestations (fever, headache, nausea, psychiatric symptoms, tuberculosis, hematologic malignancy) and 8 clinical indicators (neutrophils, lymphocytes, glutamic oxaloacetic transaminase, T cells, helper T cells, killer T cells, NK cells and B cells). The AUC value was 0.978 (CI 96.2 %∼98.9 %), indicating the nomogram was well verified. Conclusion: The nomogram scoring system constructed in this study can accurately predict the risk of cryptococcal meningitis in patients with pulmonary cryptococcosis, which may provide a reference for clinical diagnosis and treatment of patients with cryptococcal meningitis.

Systematic Review of Prognosis Models in Predicting Tooth Loss in Periodontitis.

This study reviews and appraises the methodological and reporting quality of prediction models for tooth loss in periodontitis patients, including the use of regression and machine learning models. Studies involving prediction modeling for tooth loss in periodontitis patients were screened. A search was performed in MEDLINE via PubMed, Embase, and CENTRAL up to 12 February 2022, with citation chasing. Studies exploring model development or external validation studies for models assessing tooth loss in periodontitis patients for clinical use at any time point, with all prediction horizons in English, were considered. Studies were excluded if models were not developed for use in periodontitis patients, were not developed or validated on any data set, predicted outcomes other than tooth loss, or were prognostic factor studies. The CHARMS checklist was used for data extraction, TRIPOD to assess reporting quality, and PROBAST to assess the risk of bias. In total, 4,661 records were screened, and 45 studies were included. Only 26 studies reported any kind of performance measure. The median C-statistic reported was 0.671 (range, 0.57-0.97). All studies were at a high risk of bias due to inappropriate handling of missing data (96%), inappropriate evaluation of model performance (92%), and lack of accounting for model overfitting in evaluating model performance (68%). Many models predicting tooth loss in periodontitis are available, but studies evaluating these models are at a high risk of bias. Model performance measures are likely to be overly optimistic and might not be replicated in clinical use. While this review is unable to recommend any model for clinical practice, it has collated the existing models and their model performance at external validation and their associated sample sizes, which would be helpful to identify promising models for future external validation studies.

Prediction of Subsequent Vertebral Fracture After Acute Osteoporotic Fractures from Clinical and Paraspinal Muscle Features.

To construct a nomogram based on clinical factors and paraspinal muscle features to predict vertebral fractures occurring after acute osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture (OVCF). We retrospectively enrolled 307 patients with acute OVCF between January 2013 and August 2022, and performed magnetic resonance imaging of the L3/4 and L4/5 intervertebral discs (IVDs) to estimate the cross-sectional area (CSA) and degree of fatty infiltration (FI) of the paraspinal muscles. We also collected clinical and radiographic data. We used univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models to identify factors that should be included in the predictive nomogram. Post-OVCF vertebral fracture occurred within 3, 12, and 24 months in 33, 69, and 98 out of the 307 patients (10.8%, 22.5%, and 31.9%, respectively). Multivariate analysis revealed that this event was associated with percutaneous vertebroplasty treatment, higher FI at the L3/4 IVD levels of the psoas muscle, and lower relative CSA of functional muscle at the L4/5 IVD levels of the multifidus muscle. Area under the curve values for subsequent vertebral fracture at 3, 12, and 24 months were 0.711, 0.724, and 0.737, respectively, indicating remarkable accuracy of the nomogram. We developed a model for predicting post-OVCF vertebral fracture from diagnostic information about prescribed treatment, FI at the L3/4 IVD levels of the psoas muscle, and relative CSA of functional muscle at the L4/5 IVD levels of the multifidus muscle. This model could facilitate personalized predictions and preventive strategies.

A nomogram for predicting postoperative delirium in pediatric patients following cardiopulmonary bypass: A prospective observational study.

OBJECTIVES: To create a nomogram for early delirium detection in pediatric patients following cardiopulmonary bypass. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY/DESIGN: This prospective, observational study was conducted in the Cardiac Intensive Care Unit at a Children's Hospital, enrolling 501 pediatric patients from February 2022 to January 2023. Perioperative data were systematically collected through the hospital information system. Postoperative delirium was assessed using the Cornell Assessment of Pediatric Delirium (CAPD). For model development, Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression was employed to identify the most relevant predictors. These selected predictors were then incorporated into a multivariable logistic regression model to construct the predictive nomogram. The performance of the model was evaluated by Harrell's concordance index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. External validity of the model was confirmed through the C-index and calibration plots. RESULTS: Five independent predictors were identified: age, SpO2 levels, lymphocyte count, diuretic use, and midazolam administration, integrated into a predictive nomogram. This nomogram demonstrated strong predictive capacity (AUC 0.816, concordance index 0.815) with good model fit (Hosmer-Lemeshow test p = 0.826) and high accuracy. Decision curve analysis showed a significant net benefit, and external validation confirmed the nomogram's reliability. CONCLUSIONS: The study successfully developed a precise and effective nomogram for identifying pediatric patients at high risk of post-cardiopulmonary bypass delirium, incorporating age, SpO2 levels, lymphocyte counts, diuretic use, and midazolam medication. IMPLICATIONS FOR CLINICAL PRACTICE: This nomogram aids early delirium detection and prevention in critically ill children, improving clinical decisions and treatment optimization. It enables precise monitoring and tailored medication strategies, significantly contributes to reducing the incidence of delirium, thereby enhancing the overall quality of patient care.

Association between increased systemic immune-inflammation index and postoperative delirium in older intertrochanteric fracture patients.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), a novel inflammation index derived from the counts of circulating platelets, neutrophils and lymphocytes, has been studied in the treatment of acute cancer and ischemic stroke (AIS). However, the clinical value of the SII in postoperative delirium patients has not been further investigated. The purpose of our research was to study the incidence and preoperative risk factors for postoperative delirium (POD) and verify whether the SII could serve as a potential marker for POD in older intertrochanteric fracture patients. Finally, we created a novel nomogram for predicting POD in older patients with intertrochanteric fractures. METHODS: We enrolled elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures who underwent proximal femoral nail antirotation (PFNA) between February 2021 and April 2023. Univariate and multivariate logistic analyses were subsequently performed to confirm the risk factors and construct a nomogram model.Calibration curve and clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to assess the model's fitting performance. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated for discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. RESULTS: A total of 293 patients were eligible for inclusion in the study, 25.6% (75/293) of whom had POD. The POD patients had higher SII values than the non-POD patients. The SII was strongly correlated with POD in older intertrochanteric fracture patients, and the optimal cutoff value was 752.6 × 109. Multivariate analysis revealed that age, diabetes, total albumin, SII > 752.6 × 109 and a CRP > 20.25 mg/L were independent risk factors for POD patients. By incorporating these 5 factors, the model achieved a concordance index of 0.745 (95% CI, 0.683-0.808) and had a well-fitted calibration curve and good clinical application value. CONCLUSION: The SII is a simple and valuable biomarker for POD, and the new nomogram model can be used to accurately predict the occurrence of POD. They can be utilized in clinical practice to identify those at high risk of POD in older intertrochanteric fracture patients.

Using Apparent Diffusion Coefficient (ADC) of Endometrial Cancer MRI to Determine P53 Molecular Subtypes.

BACKGROUND: Endometrial Cancer (EC) is a highly heterogeneous cancer comprising both histological and molecular subtypes. Using a non-invasive modality method to trigger these subtypes as early as possible can aid clinicians in establishing individualized treatment. PURPOSE: The study aimed to clarify the value of the Apparent Diffusion Coefficient (ADC) of EC MRI in determining molecular subtypes. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We retrospectively recruited 109 patients with pathologically proven EC (78 endometrioid cancers and 31 non-endometrioid cancers) with available molecular classification from a tertiary centre. MRI was prospectively performed a month prior to surgery; images were blindly interpreted by two experienced radiologists with consensus reading. The ADC value was measured by an experienced radiologist on the commercially available processing workstation. Interoperator measurement consistency was calculated. RESULTS: Our sample comprised 17 PLOE, 32 MSI-H, 31 NSMP, and 29 P53abn ECs. Clinical information did not differ significantly among the groups. The maximum diameter and volume of the lesions differed among the groups. The ADC value in the maximal area (ADCarea) or region of interest (ROI, ADCroi) in the P53abn group was higher than that in the other groups (894.0 ±12.6 and 817.5 ± 83.3 x10-6 mm2/s). The ADC mean values were significantly different between the P53abn group and the other groups (P = 0.000). The nomogram showed the highest discriminative ability to distinguish P53abn EC from other types (AUC: 0.859). CONCLUSION: Our results have suggested the quantitative MR characteristics (ADC values) derived from preoperative EC MRI to provide useful information in preoperatively determining P53abn cancer.

[Construction and Validation of Prediction Models of Risk Factors for Early Death in Patients With Metastatic Melanoma]. / è½¬ç§»æ€§é»‘è‰²ç´ ç˜¤æ‚£è€ æ—©æœŸæ­»äº¡é£Žé™©çš„é¢„æµ‹æ¨¡åž‹æž„å»ºåŠéªŒè¯.

Objective: To construct nomogram models to predict the risk factors for early death in patients with metastatic melanoma (MM). Methods: The study covered 2138 cases from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER) database and all these patients were diagnosed with MM between 2010 and 2015. Logistic regression was performed to identify independent risk factors affecting early death in MM patients. These risk factors were then used to construct nomograms of all-cause early death and cancer-specific early death. The efficacy of the model was assessed with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). In addition, external validation of the model was performed with clinicopathologic data of 105 patients diagnosed with MM at Sichuan Cancer Hospital between January 2015 and January 2020. Results: According to the results of logistic regression, marital status, the primary site, N staging, surgery, chemotherapy, bone metastases, liver metastases, lung metastases, and brain metastases could be defined as independent predictive factors for early death. Based on these factors, 2 nomograms were plotted to predict the risks of all-cause early death and cancer-specific early death, respectively. For the models for all-cause and cancer-specific early death, the areas under the curve (AUCs) for the training group were 0.751 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.726-0.776) and 0.740 (95% CI: 0.714-0.765), respectively. The AUCs for the internal validation group were 0.759 (95% CI: 0.722-0.797) and 0.757 (95% CI: 0.718-0.780), respectively, while the AUCs for the external validation group were 0.750 (95% CI: 0.649-0.850) and 0.741 (95% CI: 0.644-0.838), respectively. The calibration curves showed high agreement between the predicted and the observed probabilities. DCA analysis indicated high clinical application value of the models. Conclusion: The nomogram models demonstrated good performance in predicting early death in MM patients and can be used to help clinical oncologists develop more individualized treatment strategies.

Development and validation of nomograms for predicting prognosis in patients with solitary HCC: A TRIPOD-Compliant study.

Objective: To develop and validate nomograms for predicting the OS and CSS of patients with Solitary Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC). Methods: Using the TRIPOD guidelines, this study identified 5206 patients in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) 17 registry database. All patients were randomly divided in a ratio of 7:3 into a training cohort (n = 3646) and a validation cohort (n = 1560), and the Chinese independent cohort (n = 307) constituted the external validation group. The prognosis-related risk factors were selected using univariate Cox regression analysis, and the independent prognostic factors of OS and CSS were identified using the Lasso-Cox regression model. The nomograms for predicting the OS and CSS of the patients were constructed based on the identified prognostic factors. Their prediction ability was evaluated using the concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and calibration curve in both the training and validation cohorts. Results: We identified factors that predict OS and CSS and constructed two nomograms based on the data. The ROC analysis, C-index analysis, and calibration analysis indicated that the two nomograms performed well over the 1, 3, and 5-year OS and CSS periods in both the training and validation cohorts. Additionally, these results were confirmed in the external validation group. Decision curve analysis (DCA) demonstrated that the two nomograms were clinically valuable and superior to the TNM stage system. Conclusion: We established and validated nomograms to predict 1,3, and 5-year OS and CSS in solitary HCC patients, and our results may also be helpful for clinical decision-making.

A New Risk Prediction Model for Detecting Endoscopic Activity of Ulcerative Colitis.

Background/Aims: : Ulcerative colitis (UC) is an incurable, relapsing-remitting inflammatory disease that increases steadily. Mucosal healing has become the primary therapeutic objective for UC. Nevertheless, endoscopic assessments are invasive, expensive, time-consuming, and inconvenient. Therefore, it is crucial to develop a noninvasive predictive model to monitor endoscopic activity in patients with UC. Methods: : Clinical data of 198 adult patients with UC were collected from January 2016 to August 2022 at Huadong Hospital, China. Results: : Patients with UC were randomly divided into the training cohort (70%, n=138) and the validation cohort (30%, n=60). The receiver operating characteristic curve value for the training group was 0.858 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.781 to 0.936), whereas it was 0.845 (95% CI, 0.731 to 0.960) for the validation group. The calibration curve employed the Hosmer-Lemeshow test (p>0.05) to demonstrate the consistency between the predicted and the actual probabilities in the nomogram of these two groups. The decision curve analysis validated that the nomogram had clinical usefulness. Conclusions: : The nomogram, which incorporated activated partial thromboplastin time, fecal occult blood test, ß2-globulin level, and fibrinogen degradation products, served as a prospective tool for evaluating UC activity in clinical practices.

A two-center study of a combined nomogram based on mammography and MRI to predict ALN metastasis in breast cancer.

OBJECTIVES: To develop and validate a predictive method for axillary lymph node (ALN) metastasis of breast cancer by using radiomics based on mammography and MRI. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective analysis of 492 women from center 1 (The affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University) and center 2 (Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital) with primary breast cancer from August 2013 to May 2021 was carried out. The radscore was calculated using the features screened based on preoperative mammography and MRI from the training cohort of Center 1 (n = 231), then tested in the validation cohort (n = 99), an internal test cohort (n = 90) from Center 1, and an external test cohort (n = 72) from Center 2. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to screen for the clinical and radiological characteristics most associated with ALN metastasis. A combined nomogram was established in combination with radscore that predicted the clinicopathological and radiological characteristics. Calibration curves were used to test the effectiveness of the combined nomogram. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the performance of the combined nomogram and then compare with the clinical and radiomic models. The decision curve analysis (DCA) value was used to evaluate the combined nomogram for clinical applications. RESULTS: The constructed combined nomogram incorporating the radscore and MRI-reported ALN metastasis status exhibited good calibration and outperformed the radiomics signatures in predicting ALN metastasis (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.886 vs. 0.846 in the training cohort; 0.826 vs. 0.762 in the validation cohort; 0.925 vs. 0.899 in the internal test cohort; and 0.902 vs. 0.793 in the external test cohort). The combination nomogram achieved a higher AUC in the training cohort (0.886 vs. 0.786) and the internal test cohort (0.925 vs. 0.780) and similar AUCs in the validation (0.826 vs. 0.811) and external test (0.902 vs. 0.837) cohorts than the clinical model. CONCLUSION: A combined nomogram based on mammography and MRI can be used for preoperative prediction of ALN metastasis in primary breast cancer.

A Nomogram for Predicting ADHD and ASD in Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services (CAMHS).

Objectives: To enhance the early detection of Attention Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) and Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) by leveraging clinical variables collected at child and adolescent mental health services (CAMHS). Methods: This study included children diagnosed with ADHD and/or ASD (n = 857). Three logistic regression models were developed to predict the presence of ADHD, its subtypes, and ASD. The analysis began with univariate logistic regression, followed by a multicollinearity diagnostic. A backward logistic regression selection strategy was then employed to retain variables with p < 0.05. Ethical approval was obtained from the local ethics committee. The models' internal validity was evaluated based on their calibration and discriminative abilities. Results: The study produced models that are well-calibrated and validated for predicting ADHD (incorporating variables such as physical activity, history of bone fractures, and admissions to pediatric/psychiatric services) and ASD (including disability, gender, special education needs, and Axis V diagnoses, among others). Conclusions: Clinical variables can play a significant role in enhancing the early identification of ADHD and ASD.

A nomogram for predicting the infectious disease-specific health literacy of older adults in China.

PURPOSE: To identify the predictors of infectious disease-specific health literacy (IDSHL), and establish an easy-to-apply nomogram to predict the IDSHL of older adults. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included 380 older adults who completed the IDSHL, self-rated health, sociodemographic and other questionnaires. Logistic regression was used to identify the IDSHL predictors. Nomogram was used to construct a predictive model. RESULTS: Up to 70.1% of older adults had limited IDSHL. Age, education, place of residence, self-rated health, and Internet access were the important influencing factors of IDSHL. The established nomogram model showed high accuracy (receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.848). CONCLUSIONS: The IDSHL of Chinese older adults was significantly deficient. The constructed nomogram is an intuitive tool for IDSHL prediction that can not only contribute towards rapid screening of high-risk older adults with limited IDSHL but also provide guidance for healthcare providers to develop prevention strategies for infectious diseases.

Establishment and validation of a nomogram for predicting overall survival of upper-tract urothelial carcinoma with bone metastasis: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Bone metastasis (BM) carries a poor prognosis for patients with upper-tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). This study aims to identify survival predictors and develop a prognostic nomogram for overall survival (OS) in UTUC patients with BM. METHODS: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database was used to select patients with UTUC between 2010 and 2019. The chi-square test was used to assess the baseline differences between the groups. Kaplan-Meier analysis was employed to assess OS. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify prognostic factors for nomogram establishment. An independent cohort was used for external validation of the nomogram. The discrimination and calibration of the nomogram were evaluated using concordance index (C-index), area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS 23.0 and R software 4.2.2. RESULTS: The mean OS for UTUC patients with BM was 10 months (95% CI: 8.17 to 11.84), with 6-month OS, 1-year OS, and 3-year OS rates of 41%, 21%, and 3%, respectively. Multi-organ metastases (HR = 2.21, 95% CI: 1.66 to 2.95, P < 0.001), surgery (HR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.56 to 0.91, P = 0.007), and chemotherapy (HR = 0.37, 95% CI: 0.3 to 0.46, P < 0.001) were identified as independent prognostic factors. The C-index was 0.725 for the training cohort and 0.854 for the validation cohort, and all AUC values were > 0.679. The calibration curve and DCA curve showed the accuracy and practicality of the nomogram. CONCLUSIONS: The OS of UTUC patients with BM was poor. Multi-organ metastases was a risk factor for OS, while surgery and chemotherapy were protective factors. Our nomogram was developed and validated to assist clinicians in evaluating the OS of UTUC patients with BM.

Age-related curves of AMH using the Gen II, the picoAMH and the Elecsys assays in women with polycystic ovary syndrome.

CONTEXT: Several challenges still exist to adopt the anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) as a marker of polycystic ovary morphology (PCOM), as included in the recently updated international guideline. Although different evaluations of age- and assay-specific reference ranges have been published in the last years, these studies have mainly been conducted in normo-ovulatory or infertile women. OBJECTIVE: To develop an age-specific percentile distribution of AMH in patients with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) measured by three different assays. DESIGN: Retrospective cross-sectional study. PATIENTS: 2,725 women aged 20 to 40 years with PCOS diagnosis were included. INTERVENTION (S): Serum AMH measurement by the Gen II (Beckman Coulter), the picoAMH (Ansh Labs), and the Elecsys (Roche) assays. MAIN OUTCOME MEAUSRE (S): Age-specific centile curves for all the assays and correlations between AMH, clinical, hormonal, and ultrasound characteristics. RESULTS: Age-related nomograms for the 5th, 10th, 25th, 50th, 75th, 90th, and 95th percentiles of AMH were calculated using the LMS method for all the assays. AMH levels were significantly different between PCOS phenotypes. AMH levels were positive correlated to luteinizing hormone (LH), LH/follicular stimulating hormone (FSH) ratio, testosterone, androstenedione, free androgen index, mean follicular number, and mean ovarian volume. CONCLUSIONS: To our knowledge this is the first study reporting age specific percentile nomograms of serum AMH levels measured by the Gen II, the picoAMH and the Elecsys assays in a large population of PCOS women. These findings may help to interpret AMH levels in PCOS patients and facilitate the use of AMH as a diagnostic tool across age ranges.

Risk stratification in gastric cancer lung metastasis: Utilizing an overall survival nomogram and comparing it with previous staging.

BACKGROUND: Gastric cancer (GC) is prevalent and aggressive, especially when patients have distant lung metastases, which often places patients into advanced stages. By identifying prognostic variables for lung metastasis in GC patients, it may be possible to construct a good prediction model for both overall survival (OS) and the cumulative incidence prediction (CIP) plot of the tumour. AIM: To investigate the predictors of GC with lung metastasis (GCLM) to produce nomograms for OS and generate CIP by using cancer-specific survival (CSS) data. METHODS: Data from January 2000 to December 2020 involving 1652 patients with GCLM were obtained from the Surveillance, epidemiology, and end results program database. The major observational endpoint was OS; hence, patients were separated into training and validation groups. Correlation analysis determined various connections. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses validated the independent predictive factors. Nomogram distinction and calibration were performed with the time-dependent area under the curve (AUC) and calibration curves. To evaluate the accuracy and clinical usefulness of the nomograms, decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed. The clinical utility of the novel prognostic model was compared to that of the 7th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system by utilizing Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI) and Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI). Finally, the OS prognostic model and Cox-AJCC risk stratification model modified for the AJCC system were compared. RESULTS: For the purpose of creating the OS nomogram, a CIP plot based on CSS was generated. Cox multivariate regression analysis identified eleven significant prognostic factors (P < 0.05) related to liver metastasis, bone metastasis, primary site, surgery, regional surgery, treatment sequence, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, positive lymph node count, N staging, and time from diagnosis to treatment. It was clear from the DCA (net benefit > 0), time-dependent ROC curve (training/validation set AUC > 0.7), and calibration curve (reliability slope closer to 45 degrees) results that the OS nomogram demonstrated a high level of predictive efficiency. The OS prediction model (New Model AUC = 0.83) also performed much better than the old Cox-AJCC model (AUC difference between the new model and the old model greater than 0) in terms of risk stratification (P < 0.0001) and verification using the IDI and NRI. CONCLUSION: The OS nomogram for GCLM successfully predicts 1- and 3-year OS. Moreover, this approach can help to appropriately classify patients into high-risk and low-risk groups, thereby guiding treatment.

Radiomics-based nomogram guides adaptive de-intensification in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma following induction chemotherapy.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to construct a radiomics-based model for prognosis and benefit prediction of concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) versus intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC) following induction chemotherapy (IC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: A cohort of 718 LANPC patients treated with IC + IMRT or IC + CCRT were retrospectively enrolled and assigned to a training set (n = 503) and a validation set (n = 215). Radiomic features were extracted from pre-IC and post-IC MRI. After feature selection, a delta-radiomics signature was built with LASSO-Cox regression. A nomogram incorporating independent clinical indicators and the delta-radiomics signature was then developed and evaluated for calibration and discrimination. Risk stratification by the nomogram was evaluated with Kaplan-Meier methods. RESULTS: The delta-radiomics signature, which comprised 19 selected features, was independently associated with prognosis. The nomogram, composed of the delta-radiomics signature, age, T category, N category, treatment, and pre-treatment EBV DNA, showed great calibration and discrimination with an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of 0.80 (95% CI 0.75-0.85) and 0.75 (95% CI 0.64-0.85) in the training and validation sets. Risk stratification by the nomogram, excluding the treatment factor, resulted in two groups with distinct overall survival. Significantly better outcomes were observed in the high-risk patients with IC + CCRT compared to those with IC + IMRT, while comparable outcomes between IC + IMRT and IC + CCRT were shown for low-risk patients. CONCLUSION: The radiomics-based nomogram can predict prognosis and survival benefits from concurrent chemotherapy for LANPC following IC. Low-risk patients determined by the nomogram may be potential candidates for omitting concurrent chemotherapy during IMRT. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: The radiomics-based nomogram was constructed for risk stratification and patient selection. It can help guide clinical decision-making for patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma following induction chemotherapy, and avoid unnecessary toxicity caused by overtreatment. KEY POINTS: • The benefits from concurrent chemotherapy remained controversial for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma following induction chemotherapy. • Radiomics-based nomogram achieved prognosis and benefits prediction of concurrent chemotherapy. • Low-risk patients defined by the nomogram were candidates for de-intensification.

Prediction of the benign and malignant nature of masses in COPD background based on Habitat-based enhanced CT radiomics modeling: A preliminary study.

BACKGROUND: It is difficult to differentiate between chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)-peripheral bronchogenic carcinoma (COPD-PBC) and inflammatory masses. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to predict COPD-PBC based on clinical data and preoperative Habitat-based enhanced CT radiomics (HECT radiomics) modeling. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical imaging data of 232 cases of postoperative pathological confirmed PBC or inflammatory masses. The PBC group consisted of 82 cases, while the non-PBC group consisted of 150 cases. A training set and a testing set were established using a 7:3 ratio and a time cutoff point. In the training set, multiple models were established using clinical data and radiomics texture changes within different enhanced areas of the CT mass (HECT radiomics). The AUC values of each model were compared using Delong's test, and the clinical net benefit of the models was tested using decision curve analysis (DCA). The models were then externally validated in the testing set, and a nomogram of predicting COPD-PBC was created. RESULTS: Univariate analysis confirmed that female gender, tumor morphology, CEA, Cyfra21-1, CT enhancement pattern, and Habitat-Radscore B/C were predictive factors for COPD-PBC (P< 0.05). The combination model based on these factors had significantly higher predictive performance [AUC: 0.894, 95% CI (0.836-0.936)] than the clinical data model [AUC: 0.758, 95% CI (0.685-0.822)] and radiomics model [AUC: 0.828, 95% CI (0.761-0.882)]. DCA also confirmed the higher clinical net benefit of the combination model, which was validated in the testing set. The nomogram developed based on the combination model helped predict COPD-PBC. CONCLUSION: The combination model based on clinical data and Habitat-based enhanced CT radiomics can help differentiate COPD-PBC, providing a new non-invasive and efficient method for its diagnosis, treatment, and clinical decision-making.

A Web-Based Dynamic Nomogram to Predict the Risk of Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcal Infection in Patients with Pneumonia.

The aim of this study was to create a dynamic web-based tool to predict the risks of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus spp. (MRS) infection in patients with pneumonia. We conducted an observational study of patients with pneumonia at Cho Ray Hospital from March 2021 to March 2023. The Bayesian model averaging method and stepwise selection were applied to identify different sets of independent predictors. The final model was internally validated using the bootstrap method. We used receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration, and decision curve analyses to assess the nomogram model's predictive performance. Based on the American Thoracic Society, British Thoracic Society recommendations, and our data, we developed a model with significant risk factors, including tracheostomies or endotracheal tubes, skin infections, pleural effusions, and pneumatoceles, and used 0.3 as the optimal cut-off point. ROC curve analysis indicated an area under the curve of 0.7 (0.63-0.77) in the dataset and 0.71 (0.64-0.78) in 1000 bootstrap samples, with sensitivities of 92.39% and 91.11%, respectively. Calibration analysis demonstrated good agreement between the observed and predicted probability curves. When the threshold is above 0.3, we recommend empiric antibiotic therapy for MRS. The web-based dynamic interface also makes our model easier to use.

Nomogram for preoperative differentiation of benign and malignant breast tumors using contrast-enhanced cone-beam breast CT (CE CB-BCT) quantitative imaging and assessment features.

PURPOSE: Breast cancer's impact necessitates refined diagnostic approaches. This study develops a nomogram using radiology quantitative features from contrast-enhanced cone-beam breast CT for accurate preoperative classification of benign and malignant breast tumors. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A retrospective study enrolled 234 females with breast tumors, split into training and test sets. Contrast-enhanced cone-beam breast CT-images were acquired using Koning Breast CT-1000. Quantitative assessment features were extracted via 3D-slicer software, identifying independent predictors. The nomogram was constructed to preoperative differentiation benign and malignant breast tumors. Calibration curve was used to assess whether the model showed favorable correspondence with pathological confirmation. Decision curve analysis confirmed the model's superiority. RESULTS: The study enrolled 234 female patients with a mean age of 50.2 years (SD ± 9.2). The training set had 164 patients (89 benign, 75 malignant), and the test set had 70 patients (29 benign, 41 malignant). The nomogram achieved excellent predictive performance in distinguishing benign and malignant breast lesions with an AUC of 0.940 (95% CI 0.900-0.940) in the training set and 0.970 (95% CI 0.940-0.970) in the test set. CONCLUSION: This study illustrates the effectiveness of quantitative radiology features derived from contrast-enhanced cone-beam breast CT in distinguishing between benign and malignant breast tumors. Incorporating these features into a nomogram-based diagnostic model allows for breast tumor diagnoses that are objective and possess good accuracy. The application of these insights could substantially increase reliability and efficacy in the management of breast tumors, offering enhanced diagnostic capability.